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JCapper 101
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PFit

JustRalph
5/1/2008
1:46:51 PM

Anybody care to comment on Pfit numbers.

I am very curious about this number and the usefulness of it.

I just watched a 17-1 shot win at CDX and was the #1 pfit horse. This is the 2nd nice one I have seen in the first week or so at CDX. And I haven't really been paying attention.

Now if I could just find a way to bet Churchill....

Any comments appreciated.

JustRalph
5/1/2008
4:10:30 PM

Churchill 7 05/01/08

#1 You got me rocking

Pfit 1

JPR 3

and other nice numbers

14-1 and wires them on the turf

very interesting

STUBALL
5/1/2008
5:26:17 PM

I think I have the latest update...
Where do I find Pfit..I looked in the data window..nothing...

Stuball

STUBALL
5/1/2008
6:04:37 PM

Duh!! Ijust found it on the report...
Nothing in the data window yet?

Stuball

jeff
5/1/2008
7:02:59 PM

It's in the Data Window and UDM Wizard under its full factor name:

CompoundPaceFit

CompoundPaceFit is a numerical score (existing on a scale of 0-100) that describes how each horse fits pace matchup-wise within the current race. The higher the number the more favorable the pace matchup is for any individual horse.

I've found it to be more reliable on speed favoring surfaces than on speed tiring surfaces. At times, it makes a really good separator of horses with pace fig advantages over their fields... allowing you to identify horses that tend to get the lead all alone vs those pace fig advantage horses that somehow fail to contend for the front end... not in all cases... but often enough to matter.

-jp

.

JustRalph
5/1/2008
8:04:43 PM

in a very small sample so far. I see that when the number 1 pace fit horse is in the top three JPR rated horses............it is a very good spot for the horse. Add in WoBR and I have seen some pretty sure fire horses............

small sample.......but very interesting so far

JCapper Message Board

JCapper 101 -- PFit

JCapper 101
-- PFit