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| By | Happy Thanksgiving | |
| jeff 11/22/2012 11:00:41 AM | I want to wish each and every one of you a safe and HAPPY THANKSGIVING. Today, among other things, I plan on remaining true my inner (degenerate) horseplayer  ...Looking for contenders to include on my P6 tickets (there's a 500k carryover today at HOL) here's a screenshot of a Data Window query that I ran: Maiden Claimers at Hol since Jan 01, 2011 broken out by WoBrill rank I had been hoping to narrow things down in the last race... but based on the above I have to include both #3 and #4 on my tickets. Best of luck to all if (like me) you are playing. And a HAPPY THANKSGIVING to all! -jp .
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| Windoor 11/23/2012 7:25:48 PM | Interesting number on the win Percent. After an extensive study on all plays for this year, I find my highest profit margins comes from horses that fall in the 18 to 22 percent win category. I usually don't like to play at this level as the losing streaks are pretty bad. Now I'm thinking this could be the sweet spot. The big question is, will the odds hold up going forward. I'm already down another point from last year on a lot of stuff. Windoor
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| jeff 11/24/2012 2:08:17 PM | Imho, the 18-22 pct range is no different than any other range... Price fluctuations occur in all win pct ranges. After an extended period of overlaid prices within a given win pct range other players start paying attention to the horses in that range. After an extended period of low pays within a given win pct range players start abandoning ship. (Constant ebb and flow over time.) The way to deal with this? a. Determine your strike price and bet size for every potential play. b. Demand your strike price and size your bets accordingly no matter what. -jp . ~Edited by: jeff on: 11/24/2012 at: 2:08:17 PM~
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