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By BC Wrap Up
jeff
11/7/2011
11:44:39 AM
The following link will get you a text file showing Data Window results using a number of different looks for the graded stakes races over the 2 day 2011 Breeders Cup weekend at CDX:

http://www.JCapper.com/MessageBoard/Reports/Impact_Study_BC2011.txt


-jp

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Charlie James
11/7/2011
10:19:54 PM
Jeff, thanks for posting that -- 3 pieces of buried info that I found interesting:

1st -- horses short on experience/low number of lifetime starts = awful bets.

2nd -- horses conditioned in easy spots/low field size last out = awful bets.

3rd -- horses with minimal conditioning/low basicfitness = awful bets.

Methinks you exposed a weakness in current day thinking behind the way "horsemen" handle their stock.

Imho: Horses are athletes!!!

I'm a staunch believer in old school thinking that says:

RACE the horse into condition!

Your analysis tells me that horses handled in an old school way got the best of it in this year's bc -- while bettors backing horses that were coddled took it in the shorts.




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